The Foreign Exchange market (FX or
Forex) as we know it today originated in 1973. However, money
has been around in one form or another since the time of Pharaohs.
The Babylonians are credited with the first use of paper bills
and receipts, but Middle Eastern moneychangers were the first
currency traders who exchanged coins from one culture to another.
During the middle ages, the need for another form of currency
besides coins emerged as the method of choice. These paper
bills represented transferable third-party payments of funds,
making foreign currency exchange trading much easier for merchants
and traders and causing these regional economies to flourish.
From the infantile stages of forex during the Middle Ages
to WWI, the forex markets were relatively stable and without
much speculative activity. After WWI, the forex markets became
very volatile and speculative activity increased tenfold.
Speculation in the forex market was not looked on as favorable
by most institutions and the public in general. The Great
Depression and the removal of the gold standard in 1931 created
a serious lull in forex market activity. From 1931 until 1973,
the forex market went through a series of changes. These changes
greatly affected the global economies at the time and speculation
in the forex markets during these times was little, if any.
The Bretton
Woods Accord
The
first major transformation, the Bretton Woods Accord, occurred
toward the end of World War II. The United States, Great Britain
and France met at the United Nations Monetary and Financial
Conference in Bretton Woods, N.H. to design a new global economic
order. The location was chosen because, at the time, the U.S.
was the only country unscathed by war. Most of the major European
countries were in shambles. Up until WWII, Great Britain's
currency, the Great British Pound, was the major currency
by which most currencies were compared. This changed when
the Nazi campaign against Britain included a major counterfeiting
effort against its currency. In fact, WWII vaulted the U.S.
dollar from a failed currency after the stock market crash
of 1929 to benchmark currency by which most other international
currencies were compared. The Bretton Woods Accord was established
to create a stable environment by which global economies could
restore themselves. The Bretton Woods Accord established the
pegging of currencies and the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) in hope of stabilizing the global economic situation.
Now, major currencies were pegged to the U.S. dollar. These
currencies were allowed to fluctuate by one percent on either
side of the set standard. When a currency's exchange rate
would approach the limit on either side of this standard the
respective central bank would intervene to bring the exchange
rate back into the accepted range. At the same time, the US
dollar was pegged to gold at a price of $35 per ounce further
bringing stability to other currencies and world forex situation.
The Bretton Woods Accord lasted until 1971. Ultimately, it
failed, but did accomplish what its charter set out to do,
which was to re-establish economic stability in Europe and
Japan.
The Beginning
of the free-floating system
After the Bretton Woods Accord came the Smithsonian Agreement
in December of 1971. This agreement was similar to the Bretton
Woods Accord, but allowed for a greater fluctuation band for
the currencies. In 1972, the European community tried to move
away from its dependency on the dollar. The European Joint
Float was established by West Germany, France, Italy, the
Netherlands, Belgium and Luxemburg. The agreement was similar
to the Bretton Woods Accord, but allowed a greater range of
fluctuation in the currency values. Both agreements made mistakes
similar to the Bretton Woods Accord and in 1973 collapsed.
The collapse of the Smithsonian agreement and the European
Joint Float in 1973 signified the official switch to the free-floating
system. This occurred by default as there were no new agreements
to take their place. Governments were now free to peg their
currencies, semi-peg or allow them to freely float. In 1978,
the free-floating system was officially mandated. In a final
effort to gain independence from the dollar, Europe created
the European Monetary System in July of 1978. Like all of
the previous agreements, it failed in 1993.
The Explosion
of the Euromarkets
A major catalyst to the acceleration of Forex trading was
the rapid development of the Eurodollar market; where US dollars
are deposited in banks outside the US. Similarly, Euromarkets
are those where assets are deposited outside the currency
of origin. The Eurodollar market first came into being in
the 1950s when Russia’s oil revenue-- all in dollars
-- was deposited outside the US in fear of being frozen by
US regulators. That gave rise to a vast offshore pool of dollars
outside the control of US authorities. The US government imposed
laws to restrict dollar lending to foreigners. Euromarkets
were particularly attractive because they had far less regulations
and offered higher yields. From the late 1980s onwards, US
companies began to borrow offshore, finding Euromarkets a
beneficial center for holding excess liquidity, providing
short-term loans and financing imports and exports. London
was, and remains the principal offshore market. In the 1980s,
it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when British
banks began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds in
order to maintain their leading position in global finance.
London’s convenient geographical location (operating
during Asian and American markets) is also instrumental in
preserving its dominance in the Euromarkets. The major currencies
today move independently from other currencies. The currencies
are traded by anyone who wishes. This has caused a recent
influx of speculation by banks, hedge funds, brokerage houses
and individuals. Central banks intervene on occasion to move
or attempt to move currencies to their desired levels. The
underlying factor that drives today's forex markets, however,
is supply and demand. The free-floating system is ideal for
today's forex markets. It will be interesting to see if in
the future our planet endures another war similar to those
of the early 20th century. If so, how will the forex markets
be affected? Will the dollar be the safe haven it has been
for so many years? Only time will tell.
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